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Oil Refinery
LIVE INTELLIGENCE

See Futures Markets
Before They Move

AlphaSeeq fuses live AIS vessel tracking, satellite imagery, OSINT, and human intelligence networks across 40+ producing nations to deliver commodity futures forecasts across energy, metals, and agricultural markets — giving futures traders a 2–6 week lead on market-moving data.

78%Directional accuracy
over 24 months
48hrsAverage lead time
ahead of moves
180+Calls documented
since June 2024
Access Intelligence View Track Record
LIVE FUTURES PRICES

Prices delayed 15 minutes. Sources: CME Group, ICE Futures.

HOW WE DO IT

Five Layers of Intelligence

No single data source tells the full story. AlphaSeeq fuses five independent intelligence streams into a unified picture of global commodity supply and demand — across energy, metals, and agricultural markets — before it shows up in the price.

Maritime AIS Intelligence

We track 50,000+ vessels globally in real time — tankers, bulk carriers, LNG carriers, and container ships. Loading rates at energy terminals, grain export elevators, copper concentrate berths, and iron ore terminals all feed our models up to 6 weeks before price impacts register.

  • VLCC & tanker fleet monitoring (crude, products, LNG)
  • Bulk carrier flows — grain, coal, iron ore, copper
  • Dark fleet detection & sanctions tracking
  • Chokepoint congestion — Hormuz, Suez, Black Sea, Malacca

Satellite Imagery Analysis

Commercial satellite passes over key infrastructure every 12-48 hours. We measure crude tank levels at Cushing, Fujairah, and Rotterdam; grain silo fill rates in Odessa and Santos; and copper stockpile changes at LME warehouses. We detect refinery outages, crop stress, and mine disruptions before any report is filed.

  • Crude & product storage tank levels
  • Grain silo & agricultural storage monitoring
  • Base metal stockpile changes at key warehouses
  • Refinery, smelter & mine operational status

OSINT & Signals Intelligence

Automated collection across 6,000+ government, regulatory, exchange, and trade sources in Arabic, Farsi, Russian, Mandarin, Spanish, and English. We surface market-moving signals — export quota announcements, USDA crop reports, LME warehouse notices, OPEC communiqués, and port advisories — minutes after publication.

  • OPEC+, IEA, USDA & exchange filing monitoring
  • Export quota & trade policy tracking
  • Weather & crop condition data aggregation
  • Port & shipping advisory surveillance

Human Intelligence Network

Relationships built over two decades across commodity markets give AlphaSeeq access to ground-level intelligence from key producing and consuming regions. Our network spans energy, metals, and agricultural sectors across 40+ countries — from Gulf NOC officials to Black Sea grain traders to Chilean copper executives.

  • Energy: NOC officials, port pilots, OPEC delegations
  • Metals: mine operators, smelter managers, LME traders
  • Agriculture: grain elevator operators, crop scouts, export desks
  • Geopolitical: trade policy, sanctions & regulatory intelligence
New Intelligence Layer

Prediction Market Analysis

We continuously monitor real-money prediction markets — Kalshi, Polymarket, and major event exchanges — for probability shifts in outcomes with direct commodity price implications. When sophisticated participants move significant capital in OPEC vote contracts, geopolitical escalation markets, or weather-event derivatives, the implied probability shifts give us an independent, forward-looking signal that physical supply-chain data alone cannot capture. Prediction market intelligence is layered into every directional call we issue.

How It Feeds Our Calls
  • OPEC+ output decision probability tracking — Kalshi & Polymarket contract flows
  • Geopolitical escalation & sanctions imposition markets — conflict risk probability
  • Weather extreme event contracts — hurricane landfall, drought declarations, La Niña
  • Energy policy markets — LNG export approvals, SPR release orders, pipeline rulings
  • Probability divergence model: flags when futures pricing lags prediction market consensus
Subscriber Alerts
  • Unusual trade alerts — pushed via email & SMS when our models detect statistically anomalous position size or velocity in commodity-linked prediction markets
  • Probability spike reports — daily digest of the top 5 commodity-correlated prediction markets showing the largest 24-hour probability shifts
  • Pre-event briefings — 48 hours before major OPEC meetings, EIA releases, or USDA crop reports, subscribers receive a prediction market consensus summary alongside our own call
TRACK RECORD

Past Calls

Predictions issued to subscribers prior to each price move, with the lead intelligence signal that generated the call.

Date Issued Commodity Call Price at Issue Target Outcome Lead Signal Result
26Correct calls
6Incorrect calls
78%Accuracy rate
$14.20Avg move correctly called ($/bbl)
THE PLATFORM

What Subscribers Receive

Daily Intelligence Brief

Every morning: overnight vessel movements, satellite updates, OSINT signals, and our quantitative model output for WTI, Brent, and Henry Hub natural gas.

Flash Alerts

Time-sensitive signals pushed via email and SMS when our system detects a high-confidence setup — dark fleet activity, unexpected loading data, geopolitical triggers, or unusual large trades in commodity-linked prediction markets.

Weekly Deep Dive

Comprehensive 15-20 page report with vessel track maps, satellite imagery, source analysis, and 4-week price outlook with entry/exit ranges.

AIS Live Dashboard

Real-time access to our marine tracking platform. Monitor tanker flows, dark fleet vessels, and chokepoint traffic yourself. Included with Professional and Enterprise tiers.

ABOUT ALPHASEEQ

Built by Intelligence Professionals. Trusted by Commodity Traders.

AlphaSeeq was founded by a team of former defense intelligence analysts, commodity traders, and maritime data scientists who recognized a critical gap: futures markets move on information that traditional analysts don't see until it's already in the price.

We built the infrastructure to capture that information at source — from bulk carrier transponders leaving Black Sea grain ports to satellite passes over copper concentrate berths in Antofagasta — and distill it into actionable intelligence across energy, metals, and agricultural futures.

Our subscribers include hedge funds, commodity trading desks, energy majors, agricultural merchandisers, and independent futures traders across 28 countries.

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